Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.097205 0.151458 0.215760 0.294966 0.387669 0.490866 0.612713
2025-12-28 0.039904 0.103378 0.195196 0.323192 0.486480 0.679890 0.919426
2026-01-04 0.015642 0.074704 0.178053 0.335935 0.548704 0.809867 1.141678
2026-01-11 0.006538 0.063139 0.180228 0.371108 0.637515 0.971594 1.402333
2026-01-18 0.001593 0.051782 0.177914 0.396651 0.711475 1.113427 1.637933
2026-01-25 NaN 0.036731 0.163027 0.399805 0.752926 1.212824 1.820750
2026-02-01 NaN 0.018615 0.131600 0.370942 0.745978 1.247362 1.921134
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006119 0.099575 0.333609 0.722043 1.256309 1.986758
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001777 0.084043 0.321805 0.733242 1.310222 2.108101
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000482 0.078571 0.328193 0.771517 1.400448 2.275975
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.069367 0.324768 0.793420 1.467695 2.413836
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.055426 0.307291 0.791046 1.500225 2.505725
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.059602 0.334877 0.865434 1.644300 2.749442
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.063547 0.362401 0.940629 1.790777 2.998067
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.062404 0.376646 0.993490 1.905577 3.204825
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.070011 0.413817 1.085138 2.075729 3.485224
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.073744 0.440933 1.160010 2.222282 3.734708
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.068599 0.444259 1.194672 2.311772 3.908844
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.052339 0.413680 1.170048 2.315771 3.968936
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.035632 0.374029 1.126358 2.290275 3.988119
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.028499 0.361468 1.129148 2.331253 4.095560
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.026791 0.368267 1.167152 2.424037 4.273112
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.022814 0.364622 1.185412 2.487452 4.410819